Adnkronos (Adnkronos) – Tērā pea ka whakarewahia e Rūhia ngā whakaeke tino whakararuraru ki tētahi whenua NATO i roto i ngā tau e toru ki te rima e whai ake nei. E ai ki a Joel Brenner, he "tino teitei" te tūponotanga. Ā, i a Moscow e whakareri ana ki te whakamātautau i te pumau o te Atlantic Alliance, tera pea kei a Beijing te hiahia katoa ki te karo i te pakanga, ahakoa mō Taiwan, nā te mea kei te whanake haere te whakataetae ki te Hauāuru hei painga mōna.
Ko Brenner, te Kaiwhakahaere Matua o mua mō ngā Mahi Whakahē a te Motu o te Hononga o Amerika, te Kaitirotiro Matua o te Tari Haumarutanga Motu (NSA), he ahorangi i te Whare Wānanga Hangarau o Massachusetts (MIT) i tēnei wā, ā, he mema hoki nō te Poari Tohutohu Highground, ka tūtaki ki Rōma mō ngā Kōrero HG, e whakaahua ana i tētahi pikitia tino whakamarie i roto i tētahi uiuinga ki a Adnkronos.
He tangata tēnei kua roa e mahi ana ki te whawhai ki ngā tūmomo mōrearea ki te haumarutanga o Amerika, ā, i ēnei rā kua kitea e ia te mōrearea nui ki te Hauāuru i roto i ōna ake ngoikoretanga.
E kī ana ia ko te tūmomo riri nui rawa atu ki ngā manapori o te Uru i ēnei rā e ahu mai ana i ō rātou ngoikoretanga ā-roto, ka taea te whakamahi e ngā mana whakahaere.
Koinei te raru matua o te Hauāuru?
Ehara i te mea hou te pātai mō ngā kaha me ngā ngoikoretanga o ngā hapori tuwhera me ngā hapori mana whakahaere. Koinei pea te raruraru rapunga whakaaro matua o te haurua tuatahi o te rautau rua tekau. I te tekau tau atu i 1930, i te hinganga o ngā ōhanga rīperare, he tokomaha i whakaaro ko te heke mai he fascist, he komunist rānei: ahakoa pēhea, he otinga mana whakahaere ki te kore e taea e ngā hapori tuwhera te whakaoti i ō rātou ake raruraru hanganga.
I tēnei rā kei te kite tātou i tētahi mea rite.
Kua nui ake te koretake me te kore pumau o te ao i tō tētahi atu wā mai i te mutunga o te Pakanga Tuarua o te Ao, ā, haunga ngā wiki torutoru i te wā o te raruraru pere o Cuba i te tau 1962, he nui ake te morearea.
Ko te raru nui o te Hauāuru ko tōna uaua ki te aro atu ki tēnei wero, mō ngā take ahurea me ngā take hanganga. He nui te mauahara pāpori ki ngā rangatira whakahaere, me te haere tahi me te momo whakarērea o ngā manapori kaihoko. I kōrero ngā Rōmana mō te panem et circenses. I ēnei rā, kei a tātou ngā tautoko a te iwi, ā, hei whakakapi i ngā circus, ko TikTok me ētahi atu momo whakangahau papaku. E whakaata ana hoki te rāngai tūmataiti i tēnei whai i te makona tere, me te aro nui ki ngā hua o ia hauwhā me te kore e taea te whakamahere mō te wā roa.
Kua hangaia hoki e tātou he ahurea tōrangapū e whakanui ana i ngā tika, engari kāore e aro nui ki ngā mahi me ngā herenga ki te hapori. Kāore i te nui te mōhio o ngā whakatupuranga taitamariki ki ō rātou ake hītori, ki te mahi rānei a ngā umanga. I taua wā, kua horapa te whakaaro whakahē i te wawaotanga a te iwi whānui i roto i te hunga whai rawa, he whakaaro kāore e mōhio ana ki te tūranga o te kāwanatanga ki te tautuhi i ngā whāinga ā-rōpū.
Ā, kei reira anō ngā rerekētanga, me te nui haere o ngā taonga me ngā kamupene o te ao whānui e whai rauemi ana, e whai mana ana hoki, nui atu i te maha o ngā kāwanatanga. Hei tāpiri atu ki tēnei katoa ko te hekenga mai, e kino haere ana nā te huringa āhuarangi, ā, e whakamahia ana hoki e Rūhia hei taputapu hei pēhi i a Ūropi. Kāore i te miharo kei te kite tātou i te pikinga ake o te taha matau rawa puta noa i te Hauāuru.
Kei te ngana a Haina ki te whakapakari i tōna rongonui i roto i a Ūropi, inā koa i waenga i ngā pakihi, ngā whare wānanga, me ngā pokapū rangahau. I tētahi atu taha, te āhua nei kua ngaro i te Hononga o Amerika ētahi o ōna kaha ki te whakatakoto tauira. Kei te ngoikore haere te hononga ahurea me te hononga tōrangapū i waenga i ngā taha e rua o te Moana Ataratiki?
Ko te hītori o te Hononga o Amerika me Ūropi, i roto i ngā āhuatanga maha, he kōrero mō tētahi hapori o te Moana-nui-a-Kiwa ki te Raki. He rite tonu ō tātou takenga ahurea, engari kei te tīmata te huri o tēnei kōrero, nā ngā panonitanga taupori o Amerika. Kei reira ētahi tāngata whenua nō Hōmāria, nō Amerika Latina rānei e whakaaro ana he aha rātou me aro nui ai ki a Ukraine i te mea kāore te Hononga o Amerika i te aro nui ki ngā rohe i ahu mai ai rātou.
I te Pakanga Matao, i mārama mātou he mea nui kia whai kōrero hei kōrero. Ehara i te mea ko te ōhanga o te Hauāuru anake i kaha ake i te ōhanga o te Soviet Union, engari he pai ake hoki tā mātou kōrero. Ā, he rongonui taua kōrero. Kei te pērā tonu: kei te hiahia tonu te iwi ki te haere mai ki Ūropi me te Hononga o Amerika.
Ko te raruraru, kāore tātou e kōrero ana mō tēnei mea i tēnei rā. I te Hononga o Amerika, kua whakahaerea tātou e tētahi kāwanatanga kua whakarērea ngā umanga o te ao e whakamahia ana hei whakahaere i te mana. Engari ko te waiaro e whakaatuhia ana ki ētahi atu iwi ehara i te āhuatanga o Amerika: he āhuatanga ia nō te hunga e whakahaere ana i a tātou i tēnei rā."
Ki tō whakaaro, mā te rerekētanga o te whakahaerenga o Amerika, ka taea te hoki ki tētahi hononga kaha ake ki a Ūropi? Kua tino rerekē rānei tētahi mea?
Me tūpato tātou ki te kīanga 'hoki atu.' Ahakoa he kāwanatanga hou tā tātou e aro ana ki te mahi tahi o te ao, e kore tātou e hoki ki ngā mea o mua. I te wā i pōtitia ai a Trump i te tau 2016, kātahi ka tae mai a Biden, i mahara tātou kua hoki ngā mea katoa ki te āhua noa. Kāore tēnā e tupu anō.
Heoi, ki taku whakaaro he tino tūponotanga ka puta ake he kāwanatanga hou e mārama ana ki te nui o te whakawhirinaki o te kaha o te Hauāuru ki āna hononga. Kāore au i te whakaaro ka mau tonu tēnei tirohanga tauhokohoko rawa atu ki ngā whanaungatanga o te ao. Ka hiahia tonu a Ūropi ki te aro o te Hononga o Amerika, ahakoa e pai ana ki ngā Amerikana, kāore rānei. Ā, he maha ngā kōrero a Vladimir Putin mō tēnā.
He pēhea te whakamārama a Haina me Rūhia i ngā ngoikoretanga o te Hauāuru?
Ki taku whakaaro he rerekē rawa ngā akoranga a ngā Hainamana me ngā Rūhia i ngā mea e tupu ana. Mēnā ko ahau a Xi Jinping, ko te mea whakamutunga e hiahiatia ana e au i tēnei wā ko te pakanga. He morearea, he kino ngā pakanga, ā, ahakoa e kiia ana he kaha e kore e taea te matapae, kei te noho tonu te Hononga o Amerika hei kaha tino kaha, e kore e taea te matapae. Mō Haina, kei te haere ngā mea i te huarahi tika. He aha ai te tūpono ki te pakanga, ahakoa mō Taiwana? Kāore tetahi e mōhio me pēhea te mutunga. Kei te tere te whakahou o te ope taua Haina, engari kei te kaha tonu te ope taua o Amerika. Mēnā ko ahau a Xi, kāore au e hiahia ki te petipeti i te putanga o te pakanga.
He rerekē te tirohanga a Rūhia ki te ao. He tino pai te mahi a Putin i tētahi ringa ngoikore. Kei te pakaru haere tōna whenua i a ia, engari kei a ia tonu he ope taua kaha, kua tino pai ake mai i te parekura o Pēpuere me Maehe 2022, i te wā i ahua kore ai e taea e rātou te here i ō rātou here hu. Ki taku whakaaro he tino teitei te tūponotanga ka tino whakararuraru i ngā whakaekenga a Rūhia ki tētahi whenua NATO i roto i ngā tau e toru ki te rima e whai ake nei.
Kei te kite a Moscow i tētahi Uniana Pākehā kāore i te taurite, e āraia ana e te ture kotahitanga, ā, kāore e taea te whakatau i ngā take o te ao. Ā, kei te kite hoki i tētahi NATO kei roto i te uauatanga. Tekau, tekau mā rima rānei tau ki muri, i ngā hui Alliance, ka rongo pea koe i ngā pātai pēnei: ka haere rānei tātou ki te pakanga hei tiaki i tēnei whenua, i tēnā whenua rānei? E tino mārama ana a Putin ki ēnei ngoikoretanga. He tangata judo ia; e mōhio ana ia kei te taurite te katoa. Ki taku whakaaro ka kite tātou i te hononga tiaki katoa e whakamātauhia ana ki tētahi whakamātautau tino nui. Kāore au i te mōhio ki tētahi e whakaaro ana kāore a Rūhia e ngana ki tētahi mea rite i roto i ngā tau e rima. E kī ana ētahi e toru. Ko Haina tō tātou kaiwhakataetae nui mō te oranga me te tūnga whānui o te Hauāuru i te ao, engari ko Rūhia pea te raru tino nui.
Kei te whakarerekētia hoki e te AI te mahi a ngā tari matauranga. Ka puta ko te painga o Amerika i roto i ngā hangarau matatau hei hiranga rautaki ki a Haina?
Kāore au i te mōhio ki te whakautu ki ēnei pātai. Kāore tetahi e mōhio ana. Engari ki taku whakaaro kei te aro nui rawa tātou ki te hunga kei mua i te reihi AI, ko wai kei a ia te maramara pai rawa atu, ko wai rānei te tauira matatau ake. Ko tētahi mea e tino pai ake ana ngā Hainamana i a tātou ko te horapa o ngā hangarau me tā rātou whakamahinga i roto i te ōhanga me te hapori. Ki taku whakaaro he rite te hiranga o tēnei ki te kaha ki te whakawhanake i ngā pūnaha tino matatau. He pai ki ngā Pākehā te kōrero mō te mana motuhake hangarau me te mamati, me te kī kei a rātou, e hiahia ana rānei ki te raupatu, engari kāore i a rātou tētahi o ēnei.
E kī ana ahau i tēnei hei hoa mō Ūropi: kāore e taea e koe te puta i tēnei raruraru mā te whakahaere ture. Me auaha koe. Ā, ki taku whakaaro kāore a Ūropi i te tūranga ki te mahi i tēnā i ēnei rā. He nui rawa te here ki te whakahaere i ngā mea katoa. Ko ētahi o ngā āhuatanga e hanga ana i a Ūropi hei wāhi noho whakamiharo i ahu mai i aua ture tonu, engari kei te aukati hoki i te tipu i ngā huarahi kino rawa atu. Ko te nuinga o ngā whenua Ūropi he wāhi kino rawa atu hei tīmata pakihi. He tino teitei te kawenga taake, ā, he tino taumaha ngā arai ture.
Mō te mātauranga, ka taea e te AI te āwhina i ngā kāwanatanga ki te matapae i ngā raruraru me ngā tūmomo riri? Ka noho tonu te whakatau a te tangata hei mea nui?
Ka whakamahia e te katoa te hangarau mohio (AI). Ka whakamahia e aku ākonga, ka whakamahia e au, ā, ko te tikanga, ka whakamahia e ngā tari tirotiro hei tukatuka i ngā nui o ngā mōhiohio kāore e taea te tātari me te whakahiato i mua atu. He taputapu tino whai hua hoki mō te mārama ki te hurihanga o ngā hua ina hurihia ētahi taurangi. Hei tauira, mō te whakamahere hōia, he tino whai hua.
Engari he pakiwaitara te whakaaro ko te AI he matakite e āhei ana ki te kite i te heke mai. He tino morearea te whakamahi i tēnei mea, me te kore he arataki a te tohunga whakaaro tangata, mō tētahi whakataunga rautaki. Ki taku whakaaro, ka noho tonu te wāhanga tangata hei mea nui ake ake. He tino matatau te AI hei whakaputa tūponotanga. Ka taea anake te whakangungu i runga i ngā mea kua tupu kē i te ao, ehara i te mea mō te heke mai.
E ai ki ngā takawaenga pūtea, ehara ngā hua o mua i te taurangi mō ngā hua o muri. Ae, mā te ao o mua tātou e āwhina ki te mārama ki ngā mea ka tupu, engari kāore e whakatau. Kī tonu te ao i ngā mea ohorere, ā, kāore au i te whakapono ka whakakorea e te AI te tūponotanga o te hopukina e te ohorere. Ka taea e ia te whakarei ake i ō tātou whakaaro mō ngā āhuatanga o muri, engari kāore e kī mai ki a tātou he aha ka tupu. Hei tāpiri, he ngoikore ki te paitini raraunga me te kōrero teka, ka taea e te AI tonu te whakaputa i te tere piki haere tonu. E kore e ngaro te hiahia mō te whakatau a te tangata.
I ēnei rā, kei te piki haere te kōrero mō te haumarutanga ōhanga me te huarahi whānui mō te hapori, tae atu ki ngā umanga tūmataiti. E hia te nui o ngā panonitanga kua pā ki te kawenga a te rāngai tūmataiti mō te haumarutanga ā-motu?
I a au e whakahaere ana i ngā kaupapa here ārai-mārama mō te kāwanatanga o Amerika, i kī atu ahau ki ngā kamupene he roa te wā e noho ana te ārai-mārama hei raruraru kāwanatanga, engari ināianei kua noho hei raruraru anō hoki mā rātou. Nā te mea he mea ngaro ā ngā kamupene hei tiaki, he mahi hei tiaki, ā, kei reira ngā kaiwhakaari e hiahia ana ki te tahae i aua mea ngaro me te whakararuraru i aua mahi. I roto i ngā hapori tuwhera o te Tai Hauāuru, ko te nuinga o ngā mea e kiia nei e tātou he hanganga nui e whakahaerehia ana e te rāngai tūmataiti: ngā whatunga hiko, ngā pūnaha pūtea, te kawe waka, te hinu, te hau, me te pūngao. Koinei ngā pūnaha e whakawhirinakihia ana te mahi a ō tātou whenua, ā, i te wā o te pakanga, i mua rānei i taua pakanga, ka whakaekea.
Ko te raruraru, me āwangawanga ngā poari whakahaere me ngā kaiwhakahaere mō ngā hua me ngā kaipupuri hea. Engari ko ngā utu mō te hinganga pea o ēnei hanganga ka pā ki te hapori whānui, kaua ko ngā kamupene anake e pupuri ana i aua hanganga. Ā, kāore aua utu i te whakaarohia pai. Nō reira, me aro nui atu ngā kāwanatanga ki ngā ngoikoretanga ā-motu i hangaia e ngā ngoikore o ngā kamupene tūmataiti. He raruraru tēnei kua rua tekau tau ahau e raru ana. He nui ake te hiahia o Ūropi ki te whakahaere i a ia anō i te United States, engari he rerekē te whakatinanatanga o ngā ture. Kua tūtaki ahau ki ngā kamupene, tae noa ki Tiamana me Hapani, ā, i mōhio ō rātou kaiwhakahaere haumarutanga kāore e taea e rātou te tiaki i ā rātou whatunga rorohiko, engari i whakakahore te kaiwhakahaere matua ki te whakarongo ki tēnā.
Ki taku whakaaro he nui ake te mōhio o ngā kamupene nunui o Amerika ki te raruraru i ēnei rā i ō rātou hoa Pākehā, ahakoa he uaua ki te whakawhanui. Heoi, i Ūropi, he nui tonu ngā mahi hei mahi. Ā, kei te āwhina ngā Rūhia ki te whakamārama i te kaha o te raruraru ki te hunga kāore i hiahia ki te kite i mua. Tirohia ngā mea e tupu ana i Ukraine.
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webinfo@adnkronos.com (Mohio Tukutuku)