Sara Guglielmetti Will it get cold in Italy? And snow? Here's El Niño 's role for the coming months. According to forecasts, there will be huge differences between North America and Europe. But here are all the details.
Winter Weather 2026-2027: The Effects of El Niño on Italy
What role will the Super El Niño have on Italy during the 2026-2027 winter season ? Will we experience cold weather in our country? And what about snow? According to general forecasts, there will be significant differences between the weather in North America and Europe, precisely because of the role played by the Super El Niño, the phenomenon linked to the abnormal warming of the surface waters of the tropical Pacific Ocean, which is expected to peak in intensity between late autumn and early winter.
The latest seasonal projections from the European Climate Centre (ECMWF) and Il Meteo forecast a milder-than-usual season in Europe and Italy, with average temperatures likely to exceed reference values by about 0,5-1,5 degrees Celsius. This means a winter that should be milder than usual. But let's now take a closer look.
Winter 2026-2027: El Niño Could Change Italy's Weather Forecast
Will the coming winter be milder than usual? Perhaps so, at least according to experts' initial predictions. A Super El Niño could influence the weather in Italy as well, with milder temperatures and snowfall only at medium-high altitudes (between 1.800 and 2.000 m).
It should be noted, however, that these are currently only probabilistic trends, which do not rule out the arrival of icy currents, nor do they rule out snowfall even at low altitudes. There are too many variables at play to make precise forecasts, especially since it's still only mid-October. Therefore, we must await further developments to gain a more probable picture.