Beatrice Faggin In recent months, Iran has faced growing tensions, both economically and politically, exacerbated by the reintroduction of international sanctions . These measures, imposed by European powers through the snapback mechanism of the 2015 nuclear deal, have had devastating repercussions on an already fragile economy. Inflation has exceeded 40%, and the local currency has fallen further against the US dollar.
Iran's response to sanctions
In response to these sanctions, Iranian authorities have adopted a defiant posture toward the United States and its allies. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has declared that Iran will not bow to foreign dictates, while military leaders have reaffirmed their commitment to defending the country.
This rhetoric is accompanied by a growing nationalist sensibility , an element that the regime has used to try to maintain popular support.
The strengthening of nationalism
Authorities have begun promoting historical and cultural symbols, such as the statue of Rostam , a legendary hero from Persian mythology, to recall the ancient resistance of Iranians against invasions.
These efforts aim to unite the population in a time of crisis, trying to divert attention from economic inefficiency and corruption within the government.
Protests and repression
The demonstrations in Iran, which began after the death of Mahsa Amini, saw widespread popular participation, involving various segments of society. These demonstrations were fueled by growing discontent with the Islamic Republic and its leadership. The authorities responded with a harsh crackdown, resulting in hundreds of deaths and thousands of arrests. According to human rights groups, security forces intensified their use of force, culminating in the executions of protesters for crimes such as moharebeh , considered an attack on God.
The consequences of the protests
The protests have also had repercussions in the education sector, where cases of illness among female students have been reported, leading to suspicions of poison gas poisoning. This could be interpreted as an attempt to intimidate those who oppose the regime. The government has launched investigations into these incidents, but the situation remains tense and uncertain.
Internal divisions and the struggle for power
Within Iran's political system, tensions aren't just external. Friction between moderate and hardline factions is palpable. While moderates are trying to negotiate a deal that could ease sanctions, conservatives are pushing for a more aggressive approach. This power struggle is also visible in recent political attacks against figures like former President Hassan Rouhani, accused of compromising national interests during his tenure.
Iran's uncertain future
With a declining economy and an increasingly dissatisfied population, Iran's future appears uncertain. While sanctions continue to erode economic stability, political divisions are fueling a climate of instability. The government's next moves and the international community's response could determine the country's future direction. The situation requires careful attention and in-depth analysis to understand the long-term implications for Iran and the region.