Chiara Nava The center-left and center-right are separated by just eight-tenths of a percentage point . This is what emerges from the latest SWG survey conducted for La7 between October 21 and 26: the center-left reaches 44,9%, while the center-right stands at 44,1%. This small difference, which falls well within the poll's margin of error, paints a picture of substantial balance between the two camps.
Brothers of Italy remains Italy's leading party, followed by the Democratic Party . Outside of the main coalitions, Roberto Vannacci 's National Future has seen a decline, stopping at 5,6%. Another significant factor concerns the number of voters who do not express a preference for either party: according to the survey, they represent 30% of those interviewed.
Center-left at 44,9%: Democratic Party is the leading party in the coalition
Overall, the center-left coalition reached 44,9%. Within this coalition, the Democratic Party is the party with the highest support, at 20,6%. It is followed by the Five Star Movement , which stands at 12,4%, while the Alliance of the Greens and the Left garners 6,3%.
Among the smaller political forces, Italia Viva-Casa Riformista obtained 2,3%, +Europa 1,4% and Avanti PSI 1%.
The other parties in the area indicated in the survey together total 0,9%.
The sum of the percentages therefore places the center-left slightly ahead of the center-right, although the difference between the two areas is too small to indicate a significant advantage. This data depicts a situation in which the political balance remains open ahead of the upcoming elections.
Center-right at 44,1%: Brothers of Italy nearly 30%.
The center-right stands at 44,1% . Leading the coalition is Brothers of Italy , which reaches 29,3% and confirms its position as the country's leading political force. Further behind are Forza Italia , at 7,4%, and the League , at 5,4%.
The party led by Matteo Salvini therefore remains behind its allies, while Noi Moderati and Sud Chiama Nord , Cateno De Luca's formation which entered the majority coalition, both stand at 1%.
The data comes amid a political debate over government policies, while in recent weeks, young people and students have returned to the streets to protest school decisions, education cuts, the cost of living, and military spending. Within the context of the survey, however, the Brothers of Italy party maintains support at close to 30%.
National Future at 5,6%, Action at 3,1%: the balance of power in sight of 2027
Outside the two main coalitions, Roberto Vannacci 's National Future is estimated at 5,6% , while Carlo Calenda's Action reaches 3,1% . Both parties remain outside the two main coalitions in the survey's snapshot of voting intentions.
In view of the 2027 general elections, it remains to be seen whether these parties will choose to run independently or whether there will be room for electoral agreements. Alliances could indeed affect the overall balance of power, especially in a system where coalition building can have a significant impact on electoral competition.
The picture is still provisional, and there are several months to go until the election. Future surveys will allow us to observe the evolution of support, particularly for Futuro Nazionale and the smaller political forces. One factor remains key: 30% of respondents did not express a preference , a figure that highlights how a significant portion of the electorate has not yet indicated a choice.