Susanna Riva In recent days, Mexico's Pacific coast has faced a series of tropical storm systems, culminating now with the arrival of Hurricane Trudy . The region, already battered by other storms that have caused deaths and extensive damage, is once again under pressure, as local authorities prepare to handle further emergencies.
The hurricane was located approximately 305 km south-southeast of Manzanillo, in the state of Colima, with sustained winds of 150 km/h.
It is moving northwest at a speed of about 13 km/h, following a path parallel to the western coast of the country.
Current position and intensification forecast
According to the latest announcements from the National Hurricane Center, Trudy has reached Category 1 strength on the Saffir-Simpson hurricane scale and could strengthen further by Friday, October 16, becoming a major hurricane.
Its northwestward movement will lead it to pass near the coasts of Colima and Jalisco over the weekend.
Speed and course details
The system is moving at a speed of 13 km/h (8 mph), but its slow forward speed is favoring the accumulation of large amounts of moisture over coastal areas.
Forecasts indicate a possible closer approach by Sunday night, resulting in a transition from hurricane to tropical storm conditions along the warning band.
Expected impact: rain, flooding and storm surges
The latest projections call for rainfall amounts of between 10 and 20 cm (four to eight inches) in the regions of Michoacán, Colima, and Jalisco, with local peaks of up to 38 cm (15 inches). Peripheral rainbands could produce two to four inches of rain, with isolated amounts of around 15 cm (six inches) in Guerrero and Nayarit, increasing the risk of flash flooding and landslides in areas of steep terrain.
Areas at greatest risk of landslides and floods
Coastal areas exposed to onshore winds, particularly those from Manzanillo to Cabo Corrientes, are prone to storm surges and destructive waves. The high mountains of Colima, already saturated by recent rains, are fertile ground for landslides and mudslides, while rivers in Jalisco could exceed warning levels due to rapidly rising waters.
The Mexican Navy has issued a hurricane warning for the area from Manzanillo, Colima, to Cabo Corrientes, Jalisco. Local authorities have urged residents to remain in safe places, constantly monitor weather updates, and avoid traveling along coastlines exposed to 2-4 meter waves. The government of the state of Colima has stated that, although the current risks are limited, prolonged rain could cause damage due to terrain already saturated by previous storms.
Meanwhile, marine rescue teams and firefighters remain on standby to respond quickly to emergencies related to flooding, landslides , or storm surges . Residents are encouraged to follow the authorities' instructions and keep emergency supplies on hand, pending the possible weakening of the system on Sunday.