Lucrezia Ciotti New data on Italians' voting intentions ahead of the 2027 general election. The latest poll by Only Numbers for Realpolitik captures the balance of power among the parties, with Brothers of Italy posting a slight decline and the Democratic Party gaining ground. Meanwhile, Roberto Vannacci's National Future party stalls .
Political polls show Vannacci's National Future party stalling at 6,8%, while Brothers of Italy loses ground.
The latest survey conducted by Only Numbers for Realpolitik , released on November 3, 2026, highlights some changes in voting intentions compared to the previous poll of October 22. Among the most significant data is the stoppage of Futuro Nazionale , the movement founded by Roberto Vannacci, which shows no changes and remains at 6,8%.
This figure confirms the position reached two weeks earlier, when the party had already overtaken the League. Meanwhile, Brothers of Italy , led by Giorgia Meloni, retains its lead among Italian political forces, but slips slightly, from 28% to 27,8% (-0,2%).
Elly Schlein's Democratic Party , on the other hand, is moving in the opposite direction , gaining three tenths and reaching 20,3%.
Giuseppe Conte's Five Star Movement also recorded an increase, rising to 11,6% , a 0,2% increase. Among the other center-right forces, Forza Italia rose to 7,6% , gaining a tenth, while Matteo Salvini 's League dropped to 6,3% (-0,1%). The Green and Left Alliance also declined , losing three tenths of a point to 6,2%.
Voting intentions by party: Action and Moderates rise, while +Europe and AVS decline.
Changes also affected smaller political groups , with differing results across parties . Azione, led by Carlo Calenda, gained 0,1% to 3,2%, while Matteo Renzi's Italia Viva remained unchanged at 2,4%. Among other groups, +Europa lost three tenths of a percentage point, stopping at 1,3%, the same percentage as Noi Moderati, which instead grew by three tenths compared to the previous survey. Alessandro Onorato's Progetto Civico also increased, rising to 1,1% (+0,2%), while Cateno De Luca's movement Sud Chiama Nord remained stable at 0,8%. A negative trend was seen for Più Uno, which fell to 0,4% (-0,2%), and for the grouping of other parties, which lost one tenth to 2,9%.
Another aspect of the survey concerns voter turnout : the share of citizens who have not yet chosen a political party or who declare they intend to abstain decreased by 1,2 percentage points, still remaining at 43%. This figure highlights how large the electorate still remains without a clear political orientation.
The survey was conducted from October 28th to November 2nd on a national scale, through interviews using the CAWI methodology, taking into consideration the resident adult population.